Theorem Risk Neutrality
theorem staged

Risk Neutrality

A utility function over monetary outcomes is risk neutral when evaluating the expected monetary payoff first and then applying utility gives the same result as taking the expectation of utility: $$ u\left(\sum_i p_i x_i\right)=\sum_i p_i u(x_i). $$

In the finite setting, this is equivalent to $u$ being affine: $$ u(x)=a x+b. $$

Proof

Sketch

The affine-to-risk-neutral direction follows by distributing the affine formula through the finite weighted sum. For the reverse direction, use two-outcome lotteries to derive preservation of all convex combinations, then recover the affine formula from the values of $u(0)$ and $u(1)$.

References

  • [MSZ, Chapter 2, Definitions 2.24-2.27] Maschler, Solan, and Zamir, Game Theory. Risk attitudes and risk neutrality.